yes. you have a point
but the a 1 in 30,000 event isn't statistically particularly rare or significant. Particularly because, as is pointed out below, you can't regard that probability in isolation.

you've got a 1 in 30,000 probability off 15 spins. How many times does a roulette wheel spin in a day? I'll get the maths wrong here, as I'm doing it off the top of my head, but I think that you only need the wheel to spin something like 2000 times for the chances of a 1 in 30,000 sequence coming up to be more or less evens.
( the mighty badger Aphrodite, on a bar stool, by your side, Fri 8 May 2009, 17:29, Reply)