Unpopular opinion?
Watching the figures unfolding leads me to think about how the CV19 situation will develop over the coming weeks, months and years. I'd be interested to know if anyone else agrees with me:
First off - I'm not sure that a vaccine will emerge. The common cold is a form of Coronavirus and we all know how successful we've been at developing a vaccine for that.... I'm therefore thinking that CV19 will become a treatable disease that the world population begins to live with and stops fearing quite as much.
I think that the death rate in most countries is falling, not just because of the distancing measures but in a large part due to the fact that the medical profession is learning how to treat the disease succesfully and outcomes are improving massively on what they would have been for patients taken into hospital at the beginning of the pandemic.
Actual infection rates worldwide seem to be settling at about 1 in 1000 (I think in the UK the ONS believe it to be at about 6 in 10,000 in the UK) so it's not a disease that is running rampant in the general population and therefore the actual chance of contracting and subsequently dying from the disease is becoming vanishingly small for most of us. The Government and the press have done pretty good job of spreading panic and fear which is probably deliberate and a good thing and has helped avoid complacency.
The world can't stay indoors until nobody dies anymore and we can't afford a second lockdown. Hanging on to the hope of a vaccine seems rather vain to me. I think we need to start being positive and get out there.
Discuss.....
(, Thu 18 Jun 2020, 13:13, Reply)
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(, Thu 18 Jun 2020, 13:36, Reply)
"The common cold is a form of Coronavirus and we all know how successful we've been at developing a vaccine for that"
Developing a vaccine for the common cold has never been a comparable priority. And the reason no vax has been developed for the old school Sars is that the world lost interest once it disappeared, which also made clinical trials impossible to run.
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Mudface The web isn't callipygian, Thu 18 Jun 2020, 13:54,
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Also the common cold is extremely rarely, if ever, fatal to humans.
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Fadgebadger Sweaty sumo wanks for everyone!, Thu 18 Jun 2020, 15:16,
Reply)
Absolute fucking bullshit.
Colds kill geriatrics and others with comprised immune systems (we used to call them the infirm) every single day.
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Prufrock Lucifer, son of the morning!, Thu 18 Jun 2020, 19:06,
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Don't believe your fake news
*dons tinfoil hat*
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Fadgebadger Sweaty sumo wanks for everyone!, Thu 18 Jun 2020, 20:52,
Reply)
The common cold is mostly caused by rhinoviruses, which are very different. Not just a different family, but a different order.
The reason we don't have a vaccine for the common cold is not because it's impossible to make one. We could.
The problem is, there are too many types of rhinovirus.
Even if we developed vaccines for the most common hundred, it would continue to mutate.
Covid is not rampant because we're locked down.
The chance of catching it and dying is substantial.
The UK has one of the highest death-rates per capita - over 600 per million. Compare to e.g. the USA, about 340.
(, Mon 22 Jun 2020, 9:09, Reply)