Dunno about prescient,
I've seen this scenario agonised over in countless opinion pieces for months. To the point where it started to feel inevitable.
(, Wed 4 Nov 2020, 12:30, Share, Reply)
doesn't stop him from being spot on.
And I didn't see many predict it would go down to the arse-clenching wire, though I'm sure plenty will now claim they did, and I read a lot of US press as working from home affords me ample time to dick around, and not just the left wing press either. Most were around a theme of "we're confident biden will win, we should be cautious because of 2016 caveat caveat, but we think he'll win anyway because he's shitting the polls in". There was only a handful of blokes like michael moore saying "don't believe the polls, Biden's in a lot of trouble". whoever wins, with the dems controlling the house and the reps the senate it's probably going to be four more years of constipated shitfuckery in the US once again, trump or no.
(
cumquat may will not be commenting further on the allegations, Wed 4 Nov 2020, 12:56,
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Indeed it doesn't.
Like I say, I did see quite a few think-pieces speculating that this exact scenario could come about. Sure, they were outnumbered by the "Biden's got a 90% chance of winning" brigade, but even they usually remembered to point out that 90% ≠ 100%. Perhaps this scenario stuck in my head because it gave me the most fear.
(, Wed 4 Nov 2020, 14:42, Share, Reply)
Anyway,
Biden has now crept slightly ahead in the counts in Michigan and Wisconsin, as well as Nevada. *If* he holds on to his leads in those three states, they would take him to the magic 270, *if* the states that AP has already called turn out to be correct.
(, Wed 4 Nov 2020, 14:59, Share, Reply)