The chance of it being a Russian false flag seems 50/50 to me, but I can't quite imagine why they'd want to do it. An excuse to escalate, obviously, but while they're in retreat? Propaganda for the Russian audience hardly seems necessary at this point.
Maybe it was the Ghost of Kiev.
(, Fri 1 Apr 2022, 15:07, Reply)
so there's even less for Putin's Army.
twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1509779208817496065

(, Fri 1 Apr 2022, 15:35, Reply)
Like the helicopters are wrong, they'd have had no chance of getting that far into Russia, etc.
Nothing is true, everything is permitted.
(, Fri 1 Apr 2022, 15:37, Reply)
Given their attitude to the truth the temptation to fuck with them a bit must be irresistible.
(, Fri 1 Apr 2022, 16:03, Reply)
Can’t rule out a false-flag entirely, but it’s a soft target in easy reach of the Ukrainian border, with a significant strategic benefit to Ukraine in fuckering it up.
Russia did it? Well you’d have to believe that firstly they saw a larger strategic benefit in propaganda than in the supply of refined oil to their front line, and secondly that the Russian Air Force have units willing to conduct orders that amount to civil war against their own population.
(, Fri 1 Apr 2022, 17:40, Reply)
since that is ostensibly what they claim to be doing in Ukraine, and what they were doing in Georgia, Chechenya, etc., etc.
US intelligence have been pretty accurate about Russia so far, and they've been warning of false flags for weeks now.
(, Fri 1 Apr 2022, 18:00, Reply)
Would be interesting to know how much oil was actually in the tanks. If they were very low, it might make a plausible low cost excuse to escalate.
(, Fri 1 Apr 2022, 18:05, Reply)
Suggesting it was rogue elements within Russia! lulz.
(, Fri 1 Apr 2022, 23:13, Reply)
They want to turn the Russian public opinion against the war in order to stop it, not turn Russians further against them and have them to escalate attacks. They also don’t want to alienate any outside supporters, who might think this is a dangerous escalation and therefore stop supplying weapons lest they end up being used in Russian territory and dragging them into the war.
Only benefit of claiming responsibility is in providing good news to their citizens, and they’ve got enough of that right now already.
(, Sat 2 Apr 2022, 8:57, Reply)
They hit a strategic target without accidentally also bombing a children's cancer hospital 5 miles away.
(, Fri 1 Apr 2022, 20:47, Reply)