
He has correctly predicted every presidential election for the past 40 years. Fingers crossed.
( , Sun 8 Sep 2024, 21:58, Reply)

Some historians/polling pundits/commentators will have called every presidential election correctly for the last 40 years. It's a statistical certainty. They may have done so through incredible insights or blind luck but there will also be some other historian who has the same strike rate for election outcomes who will, right now, be doing the rounds predicting a Trump win.
Personally, it looks way, way too close for anyone to be sure about.
( , Mon 9 Sep 2024, 12:06, Reply)

Many thanks in advance of what should be a very enlightening garold post.
( , Mon 9 Sep 2024, 14:12, Reply)

with his claim that Al Gore was a correct prediction, actually.
( , Tue 10 Sep 2024, 14:38, Reply)

so .... maybe this is the tenth one?
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/26/allan-lichtman-prediction-presidential-election
( , Wed 11 Sep 2024, 15:01, Reply)