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This is a link post Allan Lichtman's 13 keys predicts Harris beats Trump
He has correctly predicted every presidential election for the past 40 years. Fingers crossed.
(, Sun 8 Sep 2024, 21:58, Reply)
This is a normal post Good track record of prediction.
Good opportunity to place bets.
(, Mon 9 Sep 2024, 2:29, Reply)
This is a normal post It's just like Paul the Octopus and the 2008 world cup
Some historians/polling pundits/commentators will have called every presidential election correctly for the last 40 years. It's a statistical certainty. They may have done so through incredible insights or blind luck but there will also be some other historian who has the same strike rate for election outcomes who will, right now, be doing the rounds predicting a Trump win.

Personally, it looks way, way too close for anyone to be sure about.
(, Mon 9 Sep 2024, 12:06, Reply)
This is a normal post If you could find me the one with the 40 years of successful predictions who says Trump wins, I'd appreciate it.
Many thanks in advance of what should be a very enlightening garold post.
(, Mon 9 Sep 2024, 14:12, Reply)
This is a normal post Not sure the bookies would agree
with his claim that Al Gore was a correct prediction, actually.
(, Tue 10 Sep 2024, 14:38, Reply)
This is a normal post To be fair he does say his system is right "nine times out of ten"
so .... maybe this is the tenth one?
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/26/allan-lichtman-prediction-presidential-election
(, Wed 11 Sep 2024, 15:01, Reply)
This is a normal post Gore won the popular vote by 500,000.

(, Wed 11 Sep 2024, 15:17, Reply)