I think you could combine those possibilities for a few bonus permutations.
Dissident Russians could be working for/with/on behalf of Ukraine, or they could be duped by the FSB, or they could be duped by the FSB to work on behalf of Ukraine. Or Ukraine could be duped into action by the FSB in order to expose dissident Russians.
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brb Monkhouse Stampede, Wed 3 May 2023, 16:39,
Reply)
Does that change the basic possibilities, or the actors & motivations behind them?
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wheresthefish Partly filled with wrong, Wed 3 May 2023, 17:06,
Reply)
Depends how basic you want to get.
These situations are often convoluted and complicated. The whole thing could just be a random blunder.
It could have been one Russian teenager with a toy drone and a bag of petrol. It could have been a proof of concept/demonstration flight for the benefit of the Russians, Ukranians, or any number of other interested parties (arms companies, nation states, Russian states, elements within the Russian government/organised crime networks). It could even have been a harmless drone flight (perhaps connected to the people seen climbing up the side of the dome) shot down by a deeply flawed Molotov-based anti-drone system.
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brb Monkhouse Stampede, Wed 3 May 2023, 17:55,
Reply)
You're all massively over-thinking this, there is only one plausible explanation.
(, Wed 3 May 2023, 19:09, Reply)
