You might have a point there.
Deaths don't seem to be following the new cases in the same pattern as before, either.
I think 'wave' tends to refer to waves of infection though. Should we instead use hospital admissions (or deaths)?
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 15:46, Share, Reply)
Deaths don't seem to be following the new cases in the same pattern as before, either.
I think 'wave' tends to refer to waves of infection though. Should we instead use hospital admissions (or deaths)?
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 15:46, Share, Reply)
a few options here
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/healthcare
March 23rd (day lockdown began), 3097 patients in English hospitals with virus
October 13: 3905 patients in English hospital with virus
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 16:03, Share, Reply)
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/healthcare
March 23rd (day lockdown began), 3097 patients in English hospitals with virus
October 13: 3905 patients in English hospital with virus
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 16:03, Share, Reply)
Well that's clearly also not telling the story. Admissions were doubling every 3-4 days. Within a week of the lockdown there were 3000+ being admitted a day. That trend is not being repeated.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 16:42, Share, Reply)
There's certainly been a second wave of armchair epidemiologists.
The rate of pontification means the P number has already exceeded 2.7.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 16:56, Share, Reply)
The rate of pontification means the P number has already exceeded 2.7.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 16:56, Share, Reply)
This is a frustratingly valid point.
I feel like I still have very little idea of what the fuck is actually happening in this pandemic, and what's actually true. I don't think much is actually certain.
It's frustrating how much conviction everyone else seems to have, even though there's so much disagreement.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 17:10, Share, Reply)
I feel like I still have very little idea of what the fuck is actually happening in this pandemic, and what's actually true. I don't think much is actually certain.
It's frustrating how much conviction everyone else seems to have, even though there's so much disagreement.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 17:10, Share, Reply)
Eh, I'm not a statistician but I know waveforms
and the right side of all of those graphs are trending upwards. It looks like those numbers correlate with the new cases per day with a ~2 week lag.
I think this is the 2nd wave, it's progressing at a slower pace but we've not seen the peak yet.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 17:11, Share, Reply)
and the right side of all of those graphs are trending upwards. It looks like those numbers correlate with the new cases per day with a ~2 week lag.
I think this is the 2nd wave, it's progressing at a slower pace but we've not seen the peak yet.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 17:11, Share, Reply)
www.gov.uk/government/publications/ppe-deliveries-england-5-october-to-11-october-2020/experimental-statistics-personal-protective-equipment-distributed-for-use-by-health-and-social-care-services-in-england-5-october-to-11-october-202
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 18:28, Share, Reply)
Well yes, that's pretty stark.
Matches the excess deaths numbers, I assume.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 20:47, Share, Reply)
Matches the excess deaths numbers, I assume.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 20:47, Share, Reply)
Second wave will inevitably increase slower
What with all the restrictions designed to slow it. Not just the obvious ones like masks, but also the less obvious ones like shutting the pubs at 10pm before the virus comes out.
Death rate should be slower too as we now have a lot more therapies available than we had identified initially. Steroids, and intravenous bleach for example.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 22:23, Share, Reply)
What with all the restrictions designed to slow it. Not just the obvious ones like masks, but also the less obvious ones like shutting the pubs at 10pm before the virus comes out.
Death rate should be slower too as we now have a lot more therapies available than we had identified initially. Steroids, and intravenous bleach for example.
( , Wed 14 Oct 2020, 22:23, Share, Reply)